The NHL series favorites went 6-2 in the first round of the Stanley Cup playoffs.
While two of the underdogs advanced to the second round, it wasn’t as if either of them pulled off a noticeable surprise in order to get there.
The St. Louis Blues, who were +120 to advance in the playoffs, beat the Minnesota Wild in six games.
Two-time Stanley Cup champions, the Tampa Bay Lightning, who had a +100 exit in the first round, beat the Toronto Maple Leafs in seven games.
Looking at updated series prices in the FanDuel Sportsbook this morning, Lightning +128 to beat the Florida Panthers and advance to the Eastern Conference Finals.
This is the shortest price for any underdog in the second round.
Will we see one or more turbulence in this round?
Or will we see a continuation of the trend towards series favorites to get the job done?
Here’s TSN EDGE Morning Coffee for Tuesday, May 17, 2022.
Stanley Cup playoffs round two bets
In a column on Monday morning, I posted the first sequential bet I placed for Round Two on FanDuel Sportsbook, along with a quick breakdown.
The play is Calgary Flames -1.5 at +112 vs. Edmonton Oilers.
The Flames is the -194 favorite for winning that series.
This number translates to an implied winning probability of 66 percent.
As impressive as Conor McDavid looked to take on the Los Angeles Kings in the opening round, he will face an even tougher challenge against Jacob Markstrom, the finalist of the Vezina Cup this time around.
Johnny Goudreau is playing at an elite level, and will have more assists behind him against the Oilers, including the best goalkeeper in the series.
With an elite goalkeeper and one of the best hockey streaks, I was confident enough that Calgary would win the series in six games or less that I was willing to take them -1.5 for the extra money.
I don’t feel very confident when it comes to betting on any of the other three second round series.
The Lightning has the shortest prospect of progressing among the underdogs in the second round at +128 at FanDuel, and with Brayden Point’s status still unknown, it’s not tempting enough to take a chance in Tampa Bay to win his series versus Florida.
The Panthers have made it out of the first round for the first time since 1996, and with Carter Verhaeghe emerging as a key contributor to the playoff, FanDuel has Florida at -154 to win the series.
I still think Lightning has the potential to win the series without a Point if Vasilevskiy plays at the level he played in Game 7 against the Toronto Maple Leafs, but that doesn’t mean I’m confident enough to bet on him.
Meanwhile, the Carolina Hurricanes are -210 to beat the New York Rangers in the second round.
We still don’t have an update on Frederic Andersen’s condition, but Ante Ranta was strong against the Boston Bruins, and as long as their goal doesn’t let them down, I think the Hurricanes will advance.
Am I willing to bet Carolina winning the series at -210?
No, but Hurricanes to win Game 1 and the series is +102 in FanDuel Sportsbook, so I’ll lock that as another game for round two.
Finally, the Colorado Avalanche is -400 for the second-round series win against the St. Louis Blues.
After watching Avalanche dominate the Nashville Predators in a four-game sweep, it’s hard for me to buy the blues to win the series, even with odds of +310.
Cal Makar has emerged as the favorite to win the Conn Smythe Cup on FanDuel Sportsbook.
Nathan McKinnon is the second option.
The Avalanche is the team’s deepest and most talented, vying with Colorado on two legs to win its series and Carolina to win its series push-118.
Playing on two legs with Avalanche Progression and Flames Progression pays -112.
Meanwhile, a two-player game with Hurricanes and Flames pays to advance +124.
I’m going to lock in all three of these plays and hope the bookie takes care of the business again in the second round the same way they did in the opening round.
Celtics, the heat pack for Game 1 of the East Finals
Tonight kicks off the first game of the Eastern Conference Finals between the Boston Celtics and the Miami Heat.
Miami is currently -124 to win Game 1 but +145 to win the series in FanDuel Sportsbook.
Meanwhile, Boston is +106 to win the night and -175 to win the series.
The Celtics and the Heat are the second and third choices for winning the NBA championship at +210 and +430, respectively.
The Golden State Warriors remains the favorite to win the title at +130.
The Dallas Mavericks team +650 to win it all now.