A new Nintendo console has been pointed out to a release date of 2024 by a reasonably reliable analyst, Piers Harding-Rolls of Ampere Analysis.
Flagged by the Video Games Chronicle, Harding-Rolls believes Nintendo will have a new next-gen console ready in some years, but whether this will be a Nintendo Switch 2 or an all-new console lineup isn’t entirely clear.
“Ampere currently expects to launch a next-generation Nintendo console in 2024,” he said. “By the end of that year, the Switch is expected to be sold by 146 million units which means it could still become the best-selling console of all time by the end of its life, selling over 158 million units and surpassing the PlayStation 2.”
Nintendo said in 2021 that the Nintendo Switch, and thus the Nintendo Switch Lite and the Nintendo Switch OLED, stayed there four or five years. Crossing the 100 million unit sold mark would be indicative. As such, 2024 will likely be the first Nintendo to release a new console.
In a note to VGC, Harding-Rolls also mentioned that he thinks Switch sales will inevitably drop now until the platform holder unveils the next-generation console.
“Switch sales, notwithstanding unexpectedly strong growth in 2020 due to the release of the pandemic and Animal Crossing, follows the traditional console lifecycle format,” he said.
“Even with the release of the OLED model, sales were expected to decline from their peak as the Switch hits the sixth year of the cycle in 2022 and Nintendo’s recent shipping forecasts reflect this.”
We have no doubt that Nintendo is working on new console hardware, especially when current Switch models only support 1080p output, but 4K TVs are now much more expensive and more adaptive; Check out our best 4K TVs if you don’t get one. But the continued popularity of the Switch, with upcoming game releases and Nintendo’s generally quiet pace when it comes to releasing new hardware, we won’t be expecting any official word on a new console anytime this year.
How likely is the Nintendo Switch 2 to be used?
The rumors about the Nintendo Switch 2 have been slow so far. Earlier this year, Nintendo hinted that a “next-gen hardware” is on the way, which may be compatible with the existing Switch library. But there is no confirmed information following this matter.
While we got a Nintendo Switch OLED last year, it wasn’t enough to make changes to what we already had on the base Switch; It’s the must-have Switch model if you haven’t yet, but it’s arguably not worth an upgrade from the standard Switch.
After the OLED screen, we can hope to see a 4K display on the Switch 2. We might also see a bump in the resolution as well. According to Bloomberg, the new converter will use advanced upscaling technology to achieve 4K resolution. Called Nvidia Deep Learning Super Sampling, or DLSS, this uses AI technology to effectively combine graphics into high-resolution images without the performance requirements of rendering, say, in native 4K resolution. Alternatively, a next-generation switch could have the ability to output full 4K.
The Switch OLED comes with an Ethernet port, but we’re hoping for more ports on the Switch 2. We’re also hoping for more storage and seamless Bluetooth connectivity to connect wireless headphones to a next-generation switch out of the box, rather than waiting for the connection to be enabled years later, as was the case with current transformer.
Furthermore, Nintendo recently patented a unique health-tracking device that will be able to track your sleep, monitor your mood via microphones and sensors, and even change the smell of a room. It’s unclear if this will be used as an accessory for current or future consoles or some other device together; Such a device can be a good companion for health related games like Ring Fit Adventure.
Having said all that, there’s a chance that Nintendo might be making a brand new console, possibly taking inspiration from the Switch but not sharing its naming convention. After all, the GameCube was different from the N64, and the Wii U was nothing but a pseudo-successor to the Wii.
But then again, Nintendo has released multiple generations, as well as upgraded and alternative versions of the Game Boy and 3DS. So we see no reason why it couldn’t do the same for the Switch, given that it’s now the only portable console it actively sells.
In short, we haven’t written off the capabilities of the Nintendo Switch 2, but we’re only expecting to wait another two years for it to arrive.