Punch Shot: winner, biggest bummer and how Tiger will perform at the 2022 PGA

Punch Shot: winner, biggest bummer and how Tiger will perform at the 2022 PGA

The 104th PGA Championship begins Thursday at Southern Hills. GolfChannel.com writers weigh in on their expectations.

Choose to win:

Rex Hoggard: Justin Thomas. This version of Southern Hills, an alternate fit for the track on which the World’s Best Player played during the 2007 PGA Championship, will be a secondary test, test dash and only one player that fits this stat statistically. JT is fifth this season in two strokes earned: approach and scramble.

Ryan Lavner: Jordan Spieth. Playing a few hours from home, in a demanding tournament that showcases his unique talents, as confidently as they have been in years – yes, it’s time for Spieth to finish the slam. It’s his best chance in the next few years.

Colby Powell: Hideki Matsuyama. The Japanese superstar failed to win the PGA Tour between the 2017 WGC-Bridgestone Invitational and 2021 Masters, but has now won three times in just over 13 months. Ironman will be of paramount importance this week at Southern Hills, Matsuyama is ranked sixthy In Earned Strokes: Get close to the green this season.

Competition lock:

Rex Hoggard: Scotty Scheffler. Until Schaeffler, who has won four of his last eight starts, is back on the ground, the Masters champion is impossible to ignore and there is a comfort level at Southern Hills that could be pivotal.

Ryan Lavner: John Ram. The win in Mexico helped relieve some of the pressure he had on pre-tournament for a player who had gone 11 months without a win and had never been better off hitting the ball. Rahmbo seems to thrive everywhere, but it’s especially dangerous when parity is at a higher price, as it will be here.

Colby Powell: Colin Morikawa. Speaking of earned strokes: Close to the green, Morikawa finished 2second abbreviation and 1St In that category, respectively, the first two full seasons of his career. It ranks 8y In this category this season, but always a lock to call iron.

Full field scores from the PGA Championship

Outside OWGR Top 25 in the mix:

Rex Hoggard: Max Homa. Although his main performance wasn’t great, with his best result in 10 major tournaments, he starts to tie for 40y At last year’s Open, his victory two weeks earlier at Wells Fargo was a watershed moment. Homa began to realize how good he could be.

Ryan Lavner: Shane Lowry. The 2019 Open Champion has an impressive run in terms of form, highlighted by three top-three positions in the past three months. In complete control of his iron game — which will come in handy when you pump 25 miles per hour — he’s also tidy around and around the greens. Not a sneaky sleeper.

Colby Powell: Will Zlatoris. Some guys are ramping it up a bit for the big leagues, and Zalatoris is definitely on that list. In seven major career starts, producer Wake Forest has four of the top 10 and could have a better record if injury doesn’t force him to withdraw from the 2021 Open before the second round.

Spieth embrace being bundled with tiger, Rory

Winning result:

Rex Hoggard: 8 under. By all accounts, this version of Southern Hills will offer more demanding testing than it did in Championship ’07, but many are expecting a similar winning result. Day one and two will likely yield a few cards in the 60s with rough and fast conditions, but the all-night rain on Friday and low temperatures on the weekend would be a welcome reprieve.

Ryan Lavner: 8 under. Just like 2007, only without the 110-degree heat index. Everyone will miss the green if wind forecasts hold, making anything in the 1960s a good grade every day at that demanding 70.

Colby Powell: 9 under. No easy birds in Southern Hills, which plays a 70 with two long 5s. Factor in the weather forecast, which calls for a different wind direction each day, and anything less than that would be a good result until conditions take a turn for the better on a perfect Sunday in Tulsa.

Biggest disappointment:

Rex Hoggard: Phil Mickelson. No one will be disappointed this week more than Mickelson has already. This was supposed to be a celebration of one of the game’s greatest moments, after Lefty’s late win in the PGA Championship last year. But instead, the defending champion is in self-imposed exile and the professional game seems to be on the verge of collapse. Very disappointing.

Ryan Lavner: Brooks Koepka. It’s stupid to suspect Koepka in a specialty – especially This is amazing pioneer where he went 1St-1St-T29-T2 for the past four years (and even that one bad finish was in the mix, two shots back through 54 holes). But there are more questions than usual about Mr. Major. He hasn’t played in six weeks, the quality of his iron game has declined, and his status is so questionable that, for the first time, he recently re-watched YouTube clips of his major victories, looking for clues. For once, it’s a risky choice.

Colby Powell: Xander Shaveli. The world’s No. 10 player comes into the week on the heels of only finishing second to fifth (in a singles event) this season, but has failed to make the cut in the year’s two biggest events, The Players Championship and Masters. In five careers starting in the PGA Championship, Schauffele has only one place in the top 15 goals and two missed steps.

Tiger will compete, make a cut or MC:

Rex Hoggard: making the pieces. The ’07 Southern Hills Champion will make the cut but it will be challenging. Unlike the Masters, where he faced a limited field that included a splash from former champions and ex-amateurs, the depth of field for the PGA Championship would require more of his surgically repaired right leg, but he delivers.

Ryan Lavner: making the pieces. South of the Hills isn’t Oklahoma’s farmland, but it’s also not as arduous as the Augusta National Trek. This will help prevent him from getting tired. Stronger, fitter and sharper, Woods should still be able to find success in the top major field of the year – but at the same time, it’s hard to see him keep up with 72 holes with so many top players out there. Somewhere in the top 30-45 you feel right.

Colby Powell: to cut. Woods’ rivalry heading into the weekend wouldn’t be a surprise, but it’s hard to see him maintain that level of play for just four days six weeks after fading out in rounds three and four at the Masters. He looks more confident in his body than he did at the Augusta National, and has fond memories of winning the 2007 PGA Championship at Southern Hills, so there’s just something about the T-30 feeling just fine as Woods continues to regain his strength and game.

2022-05-18 19:33:14

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