Heat vs Celtics Game 4 Picks and Predictions: Boston Knots Up Series With Game 4 Win

Heat vs Celtics Odds, Picks & Predictions Tonight – NBA Playoffs Game 4

The highly anticipated table tennis match between the Miami Heat and the Boston Celtics in the Eastern Conference Finals was played accordingly, with both teams stealing the win on the opponent’s floor.

Game four saw the addition of a new wrinkle, with Miami star Jimmy Butler listed as a game-time decision due to the annoying knee pain that cost him the second half of Saturday’s competition. The Heat held out without their captain to win 109-103 but are now 7 points underdogs in Boston for Monday.

Check out our free NBA betting picks and predictions for the Heat at Celtics on May 23.

Heat vs Celtics Game 4 Odds

This odds tool represents The best possibilities available Each betting market has a regulated sports book.

Boston opened up to a home favorite 6.5 and jumped to -7 with Butler’s standing in the air. Game 4 totaled to the board at 208.5 points.

Use the live odds tool above to track any future streak moves live until you receive a tip and be sure to check the full NBA odds before betting to ensure you get the best number.

Heat vs Celtics Game 4 Predictions

The predictions were made on 5/22/2022 at 2:00 PM ET.
Click on each prediction to go to the full analysis.

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Heat vs Celtics Game 4 Info

location: TD Garden, Boston, MA
DateMonday 23 May 2022
warning: 8:30 p.m. Eastern time

Heat Series odds vs. Celtics

the heat: -110
Celtics: -110

Heat vs Celtics Game 4 Betting Preview

Major injuries

the heat: Jimmy Butler F (Doubtful), Tyler Hero J (Out).
Celtics: Robert Williams C (Doubtful), Sam Houser F (Doubtful), Marcus Smart G (Doubtful).

Find the latest injury reports in the NBA.

Betting direction to know

Celtics 4-0 in postseason after loss. Discover more NBA betting trends in the Heat vs Celtics match.

Heat vs Celtics Game 4 Picks And Predictions

Our side and total predictions are based on our analysis of streak and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite across all markets.

diffusion analysis

Miami’s brave second-half effort against the Celtics in Game Three hampered the home team’s rise, closing a 26-point gap on the scoreboard to create panic in the Heat down Saturday’s stretch. Boston started the game 15 to 35 from the field (3 of 12 three-pointers) with 11 turns in the first half.

While Butler’s absence certainly helped the Celtics’ chances in the second half, this team was too good to suffer as it did in the first 24 minutes. Boston rebounded by shooting better than 54% from the ground in the last two frames along with nine times in 12 attempts from outside the arc.

This is where you pick up C in Game 4 – Butler or No Butler.

Due to careless passing and sloppy play, Boston coughed the ball 24 times in Game 3, and Miami quickly substituted these fouls for 33 points. These errors also prevented the Celtics from finding any flow or offensive rhythm until late in the fourth.

They were only averaging 13.2 turnover per game in the preseason prior to a grueling Saturday, and even if they cleaned up their Game 4 play to that rate, that’s just over 18 turnovers in the Miami pocket – an improvement that would have Makes the difference in the game 3.

The current streak appears to provide little protection for Butler’s health. Game 3 opened with Boston as low as -5.5 at home and jumping as high as -6.5 before Miami’s late money trimmed the Celtics’ closing streak at -5.5. But it’s not just Butler that Miami supporters have to worry about in Game Four.

Super Sapp and sixth man of the year, Tyler Hero, suffered a quadruple injury on Saturday and was suspended from the fourth quarter, leaving Monday’s situation up in the air as well.

Purely guesswork and not taking anything away from Miami’s effort, but the Heat will likely go into these two games in Boston with a realistic goal of reclaiming at least one lawn win, turning this into a best of three streak with a court on home ground. Matches 5 and 7. Mission accomplished.

This is a smart team, and instead of risking losing Butler and potentially being a champion in the championship rounds of the series, the Heat can safely go into Game 4 and rest those key talents in order to better position themselves for what really feels like a seven-prong game.

I’m jumping in Boston as low as possible now, trying to stay ahead of any injury updates that could bolster that cushioned streak even more. Keep a close eye on the line’s movement from now until tip-off, as the market often knows who’s entering and exiting before media reports about it.

prediction: Celtics -6.5 (-110 at bet365)

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Over / Under Analysis

Bookmakers have been packing points since pegging the first game of the Western Conference Finals with a very low total of 203.5 – a number that the Celtics and Heat blew out of the water with a total of 21.5 points.

The Game 3 total closed at 208 points and bettors needed more than some late combos – unchallenged and a desperate triple – in the last 20 seconds of the fourth quarter to get over the hump, making a perfect 3-0 over in this series for that far away.

Game 4 opened at 208.5 points and is likely to drop significantly if Butler or Hero (or both) sit down on Monday. This pair combined for nearly 39% of the Heat’s total offensive output in the post-season. Miami has some capable bodies in standby spots, like Victor Oladipo and Gabe Vincent, but Boston doesn’t need to consider these guys like you do when Butler and Hero are on the ground.

As for the Celtics’ offensive, it should be more protective of basketball after ups and downs turned the tide of the series on Saturday. This foul gift earned over 30 points for Miami, who collected an average of 17 turnover points in the first two games of the series.

The old philosophy of “fake it before you do it” will apply to all of Boston’s passes Monday night after the Heat scored a stunning 19 steals in Game Three, so expect the Celtics offense to use a little more shooting time and play with better focus.

We’ll start trying out before the total can shrink quickly. As with the difference, keep a close eye on the overall movement if you want to wait for more concrete information about Miami injuries.

prediction: less than 208.5 (-110 in PointsBet)

best bet

If the Heat can ever be happy to steal that road win and escape Boston without further damage to their rookie stars, we’ll probably know by halftime.

Boston will undoubtedly come out swinging on their court, knowing how close they are to completing a comeback in Game Three. Despite dropping 15 points in Saturday’s halftime break, the Celtics are still the best first-half team in the post-season. Advanced net rating +8.9.

The money streak is a valuable -275 option and will only increase in price if Miami rests these injured superstars, so we’ll instead look at the double score – 1H / full match streak – for added value with minimal risk, considering how to open 24 minutes can be shaken.

pick or pick: Double Celtics score (-135 at bet365)

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2022-05-23 21:33:00

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